Abstract:

Shortly after the Corona epidemic hit Denmark in March 2020 the Danish health authorities created an expert group from leading Danish Universities. The task was to provide timely advice to the authorities/prime minister on closer/reopening etc of the Danish society. I was the biostatistics expert in the group. The main point of this talk is to present the mulit-state model that I developed as part of this. Including an interesting little exercise in change-point detection. The talk will also briefly present the total Danish Corona modelling approach.